Sean t rcp twitter.
We all know that some people are just predisposed to say stupid things. Still, it’s one thing to see it on Twitter and another to hear it from the mouth of the person sleeping next to you. It’s not your fault.
Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "So my Voting & Participation class drew an Ohio map without ever turning on the political map, and came up with this. It isn't 100% …“I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende Of the congressional districts used in 2020, name the top 3 that swung the most toward Republicans (at the presidential level) from 2008, and the three that swung the most toward Democrats.“COVID, at least post-March '20, was just a different sort of shock to the system. Probably required a different sort of response, especially once it was apparent that we were bouncing back from the shock quickly.”It's pretty amazing that we have a grand total of 3 decent, non interest-group sponsored polls of Fetterman-Oz. 08 Aug 2022
Oct 26, 2022 · “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”
Jun 29, 2022 · “And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users
“My hot take is that George Martin pretty clearly lost the motivation to finish the main series after the show overtook him, and he should just do a lengthy blog post giving the outlines of how he would have ended it and then go …“This histogram of Ohio precincts by Democratic share of the two-party vote really shows the Democrats' problem in a nutshell: Democrats have a significant number of precincts where Biden got 75% of the vote or more; Trump has comparatively few.”Sean T at RCP. SeanTrende. ... My hot takes on contemporary Twitter discussions:(1) I think Trump is likely to lose. Maybe 1-in-5 chance he wins(?)(2) I don't think the 1988 example is terribly apposite; that was Read more. So my Poli Sci 1100 class from Fall '19 will remember -- or should! -- me saying that I thought the arg. in the Title VII ...“@RadioFreeTom @ThePlumLineGS Yeah, but you finally realized (b) was the most sensible path for that viewpoint.”Jun 4, 2022 · “This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.”
“@GreenPastelRed @mjs_DC @Slate Sure! It’s also possible that Roberts blinked in Kisor and is having Kagan write a narrow opinion. Lots of possibilities.”
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In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersLog in. Sign upNov 8, 2016 · Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225. Nov 8, 2022 · “Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.”
Married to. @emytrende. , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society …The Amazon broadcast briefly zoomed in on Payton and allowed fans (and possibly opposing teams) to get a great view of his play sheet.“@micahcohen @DouthatNYT In a broader sense, these things tend to be known and are frequently debated among political scientists; but too often when they get pushed into the general debate those assumptions and debates fall by the wayside. See also the "authoritarianism" and "racial resentment" indices.”“Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/”In this conversation. Verified account
In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@Nate_Cohn Yeah, part of the problem is the modern right's disdain for academia/anti-Intellectual-ism, combined with the fact that the CRT stuff has a fair amount of overlap with traditional racial liberalism stuff. So it's easy to lump them together.”
Mar 3, 2022 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“But in a wave year, these will come into varying degrees of play. So if the generic ballot starts to reach R+6 or so (which is probably about right if Biden stays in the low 40s) you're suddenly in a scenario where about 30 seats suddenly come into play. 5/”When you think of celebrities who endorse Bitcoin, Elon Musk is probably among the first names that come to mind. Musk, whose company Tesla holds billions of dollars in Bitcoin, has been at the forefront of the cryptocurrency revolution for...... Twitter auto refresh google chrome, French dialect crossword clue, Debit and credit card reader for iphone, As soon as practicable legal definition, Tender ...“As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17”Oct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” “What an apolitical redraw does is add some responsiveness to maps. In great D years they can draw to parity in PA, and in the map my class drew they might end up 6-9 or 7-8 in Ohio. A solid gerrymander might prevent those outcomes. 6/”
“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”
“This is insane. 20 years ago the all-in at Duke Law (tuition, living expenses, books) was about $40k. I don’t think the education provided has improved *that* much.”
Jun 7, 2021 · “@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.” Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "Democrats maintaining control of ... ... Log in“@GreenPastelRed @mjs_DC @Slate Sure! It’s also possible that Roberts blinked in Kisor and is having Kagan write a narrow opinion. Lots of possibilities.”“@RadioFreeTom @ThePlumLineGS Yeah, but you finally realized (b) was the most sensible path for that viewpoint.”Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at least …“Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/”“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2”Things will change, and the voters will get another say in two years. Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and ...RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). "There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9"13 Şub 2013 ... ... T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act to clarify that houses of worship are eligible for certain disaster relief and ...
pic.twitter.com/xNtqwDFe0B — Sean T at RCP is a free elf (@SeanTrende) November 9, 2022. In House races rated as tossup or "lean" by 538, Democrats …In this conversation. Verified accountAug 3, 2022 · “This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.” Instagram:https://instagram. worcester commuter rail stationhoward kuwomen genderinstitute for health and wellness “Those deep red counties in the southwest (Leip still uses the red = D, blue = R coloring)? Justice ran about 40 points ahead of Clinton. That's coal country. 3/” ammonite time periodexpenseit email receipts Sean Hannity, the popular conservative political commentator and author, has never been divorced. There were allegations spreading concerning his divorce, however, these allegations turned out to be merely rumors. He has been married to his... natalia zoppa nudes Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Take a random sample of NFL wideouts and NBA guards, train them up from a young age to be soccer players, and we would have a premier team. Our standout athletes have all …“I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as …“The story that makes the most sense re the leak is actually Chief Justice Roberts, trying to illustrate to a swing justice what the backlash would be like. But it is also completely out of character for Roberts; burn the village to save the village isn't his style. So, no. 1/”